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World Community Grid Forums
Category: Completed Research
Forum: Help Conquer Cancer
Thread: Talk of Expected Completion date of HCC |
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Thread Status: Active Total posts in this thread: 230
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RT
Master Cruncher USA - Texas - DFW Joined: Dec 22, 2004 Post Count: 2636 Status: Offline Project Badges: 
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What is the estimated completion date of HCC?
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gb009761
Master Cruncher Scotland Joined: Apr 6, 2005 Post Count: 2955 Status: Offline Project Badges: 
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Although there are so many variables that can get in the way of an accurate estimate this far out (extra WU's being added, new projects/phases being started, issues with the current flow of WU's etc.), I'm going to stick my finger in the air and say, the 15th of October 2011 will be the day when the last WU is sent out. Then, of course, there'll be the 'retreads' - but that's more guessable...
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anhhai
Veteran Cruncher Joined: Mar 22, 2005 Post Count: 839 Status: Offline Project Badges: 
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Here is the equation I worked out to figure out when the end date will be. (Link below to show you how it was derived)
----------------------------------------(# of days left) = (100/(percent done) - 1)*(# of WU done) / (# of WU per day) so using Sekerob's chart to fill in the equation you get : (# of days left) = (100/82.11 - 1)*(168,616,273)/350,000 = 104 days so around Oct 3rd, assuming we average about 350k WU per day. of course that will drop when HFCC and other projects join. So Oct 15th is a good estimation https://secure.worldcommunitygrid.org/forums/...18662_lastpage,yes#327406  |
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RT
Master Cruncher USA - Texas - DFW Joined: Dec 22, 2004 Post Count: 2636 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Here is the equation I worked out to figure out when the end date will be. (Link below to show you how it was derived) (# of days left) = (100/(percent done) - 1)*(# of WU done) / (# of WU per day) so using Sekerob's chart to fill in the equation you get : (# of days left) = (100/82.11 - 1)*(168,616,273)/350,000 = 104 days so around Oct 3rd, assuming we average about 350k WU per day. of course that will drop when HFCC and other projects join. So Oct 15th is a good estimation https://secure.worldcommunitygrid.org/forums/...18662_lastpage,yes#327406 Thanks guys. Appreciate the information. One thing you said anhhai that I did not understand. "....HFCC and other projects join." ? What does that mean? HFCC is currently running. Again Thanks to both you and gb009761!  |
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gb009761
Master Cruncher Scotland Joined: Apr 6, 2005 Post Count: 2955 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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HFCC is currently in a 'paused' state - awaiting for the scientists to generate some more WU's for us all to crunch (latest I heard, was that they would be arriving sometime next month).
----------------------------------------As to the other projects - well, we've heard rumours that WCG are planning on starting 3 new projects/phases before the end of the year - so, providing that they do manage this, I would imagine that they're working in the backroom, franticly trying to make this come true... Thus, I would imagine that at least 1 will have started before HCC draws to a close. |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
To take with a pinch of salt, was developing a more [dare I say] sophisticated model, which includes incorporation of 3 years crunching history to account for things as summer slow down effects and it worked out as 1.5 days later than what the very simple model T currently spits out every 12 hours through the WCG Dashboard chart... late morning hours of Oct.6...
 ] Running various ''what-ifs'' to include GPU launch, but not any work volume changes [not taking severe technical issues either], and I'll leave it at Q4-2011.  --//-- PS, today as of noon it stands at 105 days ''normal'' work flow [Ballpark]. The closer we get to completion, the more accurate the formula homes in, such was the design... whether it then is 10 days left or 8 days left is kind of academic... like complaining about the weather... it's cooler than predicted. |
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RT
Master Cruncher USA - Texas - DFW Joined: Dec 22, 2004 Post Count: 2636 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Ahhh... OK... Very good information. I again say Thank You for the good information. Before I posted originally, I had no idea. You have cleared it up... I was after a good idea, not necessarily a precise date. THANK YOU ALL!
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Unless something big puts the breaks on, it will be over sooner than later. We're now @ sub 100 days work at recent speed.
Crunch On. --//-- |
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TimAndHedy
Senior Cruncher Joined: Jan 27, 2009 Post Count: 267 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Unless something big puts the breaks on, it will be over sooner than later. We're now @ sub 100 days work at recent speed. Good News, However when HFCC comes back I expect a drop. At least my output will drop in at least half. |
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anhhai
Veteran Cruncher Joined: Mar 22, 2005 Post Count: 839 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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with the temporary drop in priority for HMCD2 and the 2 month push back of HFCC, it looks like HCC will be finish even sooner, possibly even Oct 1st.
----------------------------------------(# of days left) = (100/(percent done) - 1)*(# of WU done) / (# of WU per day) so using Sekerob's chart to fill in the equation you get : (# of days left) = (100/87.10 - 1)*(178,857,360)/367,000 = 72 days left -- Oct 1st |
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